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Gabrielle Near P.R.; Monitoring Southwestern Gulf

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are likely
Updated: Sept. 5, 2013, 12:15 P.M. ET

(NOAA)

Atlantic Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed late Wednesday evening near Puerto Rico. Gabrielle weakened Thursday midday. Another tropical system may form over the southwestern part of the Gulf of Mexico.

The next name on the list of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin is Humberto.

Northeastern Caribbean

The center of Gabrielle is located west-southwest of Ponce, Puerto Rico, with slow movement to the northwest. The low level center of the depression was shifted to the southwest of the circulation at mid-levels of the atmosphere as a result of disruptive winds.

At 11:00 a.m., Gabrielle was downgraded to a tropical depression and is not likely to become a hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are at 35 mph.

Gabrielle will continue to bring heavy rainfall from the Virgin Islands to Puerto Rico through the end of the week. Some pockets of heavy rain may develop over part of Hispaniola as well.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are likely, but the rugged terrain will enhance the rainfall and the threat of flash flooding and mudslides.

The area from the Windward and Leeward islands to the British and U.S. Virgin Islands has been subject to locally heavy showers and gusty thunderstorms since the start of the week.

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Gabrielle is forecast to drift along a curved path to the northwest, north and northeast through the weekend. The system could begin to affect the Turks and Caicos and the southern part of the Bahamas this weekend.

"The mountainous terrain of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola is likely to interfere with the circulation of the system and slow development through Saturday," said Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

Depending on the strength of the system, there is the potential for building seas and surf in the region. However, even in a poorly organized system, there can be locally gusty squalls, which are a hazard for small craft.

Indications are that during next week, disruptive westerly winds in the atmosphere may minimize further development.

These same winds could keep the center of the system from reaching the United States mainland.

While there are some factors that will limit the intensity of this system, people should continue to monitor its progress.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico

Another system has made its way from the Caribbean, across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

"As this system drifts over the warm waters of the southwestern part of the Gulf of Mexico late this week, it will have a chance to become better organized," Kottlowski stated.

The system will produce drenching showers and locally gusty thunderstorms along the coast of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico the next couple of days.

This system will then drift into the Mexico mainland this weekend and may not have enough time to get very strong before doing so. However, even a disturbance, depression or storm would still bring the potential for torrential rain, flooding and mudslides. Veracruz, Mexico, was hit hard by Tropical Storm Fernand in late August.

Monitoring Other Systems

There are several other systems being watched over the next few days in the Atlantic Basin. One is just to the northeast of Gabrielle. Another is over the central Atlantic. A third is a disturbance currently drifting westward across Africa.

RELATED ON SKYE: Stunning Hurricane Photos from Space

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vetmed2000

Difficult to understand the explicative bs. Media frenzy and incompetence in DC all bad news for America

September 05 2013 at 11:53 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Katie111691

what is the winter going to be like

September 05 2013 at 8:26 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Katie111691

as long as it doesn't hit us on the east coast

September 05 2013 at 8:25 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Katie111691

as long as it doesn't come here

September 05 2013 at 8:25 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
powermetal2000

More fear mongering. Gabrielle is a minor tropical storm. The media WISHES it were more.

September 05 2013 at 7:10 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply
liduvina77

crazy weather.

September 05 2013 at 6:46 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to liduvina77's comment
powermetal2000

Not really. It's a standard early September tropical storm. Nothing "crazy" about it.

September 05 2013 at 7:09 PM Report abuse +2 rate up rate down Reply
Rick & Bev

Gabrielle, according to all computer models, is headed for Greenland, and by the time it gets there, it probably won't even bring rain. What's the problem?

September 05 2013 at 6:31 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
goodgrief61945

Too bad Cal and Idaho won't get any.

September 05 2013 at 6:11 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
mrnaturallyphree

We''e all gonna' die! Sooner or later.
Sooner if our Presidink has his way.
Storms are the least of the problems facing us.
Won't a "nuclear winter" negate global warming?
And whom will be around to care?

September 05 2013 at 5:36 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to mrnaturallyphree's comment
aronpuma

I have several questions concerning your comment, the first being; what is a "nuclear winter?" I'm going to assume that you are using it as hyperbole to describe a harsh winter, but if my assumption is wrong, than I'd appreciate if you would tell me your actual context. Second, how does our President's agenda make our deaths happen sooner than they would have if he wasn't President? If you could provide a way to prove your statement, then I'd be able to accept it as fact, so if you can provide it, please do. The fact that you do not means that I'd have to assume that you were both intelligent, trustworthy, and unbiased to take your statement as fact; arguments not bolstered by your insult of our President or the improper spelling of we're. And to answer your question about the idea that a 'nuclear' winter would negate global warming, in short it wouldn't. Climate and weather are not synonyms; and the weather of one season does not determine the climate. Global Warming refers to a worldwide change in the Earth's climate, and judging that by the weather of a single region is like trying to describe all Religions by analyzing Confucianism. I have nothing against Confucianism mind you; but we would only get a rough idea of religion, and even the religions that coevolved along side of it, such as Taoism, are radically different from Confucianism. In the same way; Stockholm Sweden's has a humid continental climate, while Östersund Sweden has a subarctic Climate. Aside from both being major population centers in Sweden, they are only 288.7 miles away from each-other. Boston and Philadelphia are 207.84 miles from each other.

September 05 2013 at 8:58 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Avram

You can thank BP oil spill for creating a thermo barrier to reduce evaporation of storms. Actually that oil spill bought the Army core of engineers enough time to finish up grading the dikes from Katina's pounding.

September 05 2013 at 5:01 PM Report abuse -1 rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Avram's comment
Rick & Bev

Now it's BP's fault? What happened to Bush?

September 05 2013 at 6:32 PM Report abuse +1 rate up rate down Reply
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